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Open Letter to Professor Sir Peter Gluckman

Open Letter to Professor Sir Peter Gluckman, Prime Minister’s Chief Science Adviser

Dear Professor Gluckman

I have been reading your letter to Dr. Doug Edmeades commenting on his presentation regarding climate science and I wonder whether you would be prepared to read my comments on your comments.

I should begin by introducing myself.

I would claim a distinguished and eventful scientific career.

I was a Major scholar at Emmanuel College, Cambridge, the holder of a First Class Honours Degree in Chemistry, an MA, and a PhD in Chemistry, all rather long ago.

To Nick Smith from Simon B 7 June 2010

 

OPEN LETTER TO HON Dr NICK SMITH
 
Office of Hon Dr Nick Smith
Minister for Environment, Climate Change Issues and ACC
04 817 6597 T
07/06/10
Dear Hon Dr Nick Smith
                        Thank you for your letter in reply to my E-mail. I must say it was pleasing to receive a composed letter unlike the pro forma replies normally used to acknowledge correspondence.
However, I was gobsmacked by the contents of the letter. The bulk of it looks as if taken straight out of an IPCC report (haven’t you read about Climate-gate?). Successive Governments have tried to use Science (and shonky Science at that) to justify imposing taxes on the ratepayers. 
 Your letter shows that this Government will impose Emission charges regardless of the lack of justification. The ETS is a political and economic measure which has got nothing to do with Climate Change (which the Prime Minster, and I assume you also, believe in) and is just a way of trying to balance the books.
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To John Key from Malcolm R 7 June 2010

Prime Minister,

 
 The past eighteen months started with some sense of elation . The first six months seeing actions taken which many agreed were right and proper actions. We believed that we had at last elected a government which was determined to right previous ill conceived actions . The introduction of the smacking bill and the petition to take it from the statutes being only one of what was to be several badly thought out decisions.
 
   It all turned to custard when you have persisted to progress the E.T.S. and pass the December 09 legislation. . Since first writing to you in November 2008 , I have continued extensive research into Climate Change ; or whatever you next decide to call it , and it has become very obvious that the advise you have received on the matter is not only wrong , but so manipulated that you are placing the lower income people ($30,000and less earnings )of this country in a penurious position . It is my belief that you and your fellow M.Ps. have lost all touch with reality . 
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Nick, nobody has an ETS like ours

Richard Treadgold | April 28, 2010 | 7:58 pm

Climate Conversation Group

In the Parliament today, Chris Auchinvole asked Nick Smith (Minister for Climate Change): “Are claims correct that New Zealand is the first in the world to have an emissions trading scheme, and that it is just a tax for revenue purposes?”

And thus did Nick reply:

No, 38 countries have commitments under the Kyoto Protocol, and 29 of them, or three-quarters, already have an emissions trading scheme. Nor is the scheme a tax. Although consumers and businesses will pay $350 million in the first year of the scheme for their emissions, foresters will receive $1,100 million in carbon credits for post-1989 forests. Far from providing net revenue to the Government, the scheme is actually a cost to the Crown. There are 12,000 New Zealanders who, in good faith, planted trees on the assurances of both National and Labour Governments that they would receive carbon credits for those post-1989 forests. The emissions trading scheme honours that commitment.

But the facts are different from those presented by our Nick.

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To Nick Smith from Maureen C 6 June 2010

Dr Smith

 
The ETS debate continues albeit a very one-sided debate, largely due to a compliant media.
 
Your often quoted mantra that 'New Zealand does not lead the world with an ETS and 29 countries already have a system in place', is of course not entirely true and you are well aware this is not true.  New Zealand is the only country to have an ''all sectors, all gases" ETS.  You are also well aware that 27 of the 29 countries you quote are within the EU and that scheme has so many exemptions as to make a comparison with New Zealand's scheme laughable.  
 
Dr Smith you are very quick to point out that both ACT and Federated Farmers are misinforming the public.  Below are three quotes, are you saying that these statements are untrue, if so perhaps you would be good enough to correct them. 
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TV3 on atoll facts

Ahhhh, even TV3 is starting to cover "the facts".......

TV3 News, Auckland --  04 Jun 2010 10:32a.m.  -- Ray Lilley  --  Some South Pacific coral atolls have held their own or even grown in size over the past 60 years despite rising sea levels, research has shown.

 

Some scientists worry that many of the tiny, low-lying islands throughout the South Pacific will eventually disappear under rising sea levels.
But two researchers who measured 27 islands where local sea levels have risen 120mm - an average of 2mm a year - over the past 60 years, found just four had diminished in size.
The reason: Coral islands respond to changes in weather patterns and climate, with coral debris eroded from encircling reefs pushed up onto the islands' coasts by winds and waves.
Professor Paul Kench of Auckland University's environment school and coastal process expert Arthur Webb of the Fiji-based South Pacific Applied Geoscience Commission, used historical aerial photographs and high-resolution satellite images to study changes in the land area of the islands.
While four had gotten smaller, the other 23 had either stayed the same or grown bigger, according to the research published in the scientific journal Global and Planetary Change.

Pacific islands not sinking from global warming

Washington Times editorial  11 June 2010

New study debunks Al Gore's hysterical fairy tale

Of all the apocalyptic imagery summoned by global warming's proponents, the most compelling has been the threat of coastal devastation from rising sea levels. In his best-selling work "Earth in the Balance," Al Gore argued that the selfishness of Western industrialization would obliterate small, impoverished countries.

"Although the sea level has risen and fallen through different geological periods, never has the change been anywhere near as rapid as that now expected as a consequence of global warming," he wrote. "... [I]sland nations like the Maldives and Vanuatu (formerly New Hebrides), will be devastated if the projections made by scientists turn out to be accurate." Mr. Gore solemnly predicted that millions of poor inhabitants would be forced to flee their homelands in a desperate bid for survival - unless we adopt his political agenda. It just isn't so.

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From Mike J to Nick Smith 3 June 2010

The following is a reply to a letter from Nick Smith. To read this letter, click here.

 

Dr. Smith
 
Thank you for your letter of 3rd inst. in response to my calls to delay the ETS.
 
Your second paragraph cites statistics indicated a warming earth and a warming New Zealand.  The accuracy of measurements and the storage of raw data have been called into question by a large number of climate scientists. The obvious manipulation of raw temperature data in New Zealand by NIWA is well documented and is the reason why they are now reconstructing the temperature record for New Zealand.  So, I would contend that the assertion that the earth and New Zealand are warming is debateable.  That said, there is no consensus among scientists that the 0.03 percent of the atmosphere which is anthropogenic CO2 has any significant affect on the greenhouse effect. The science is in its infancy and much more research is needed into other climatic influences such as Pacific Decadal Oscillations, El Nino & La Nina patterns, sunspot activity, cloud cover and aerosol impacts, negative feedbacks and much more. 

Islands in Pacific are growing, study says

nzherald.co.nz   3 June 2010

They are the poster children for fears that rising sea levels will swallow island nations.

But a study of Pacific Islands over the past 60 years shows many are fighting back against climate change by actually increasing in land area.

Aerial photographs and high resolution satellite images of 27 islands taken since the 1950s found only four islands had decreased in land area - despite sea level rises of about 12cm - and most of those were uninhabited.

At the same time, seven islands grew in tiny Tuvalu, the low-lying group whose fate transfixed the world's media at the Copenhagen climate conference last year.

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From Brett M to National Party MPs 18 May 2010

To our most honourable Leaders

I’m writing to express my absolute dismay that, with the introduction of the Emissions Trading Scheme, New Zealand is about to become a world leader for all the wrong reasons.

How can we push through with such a scheme when no other country in the world has signed up to an ETS?

Why is there such a hurry to push this tax through when Australia will not even entertain the idea until at least 2013?

How can you justify forcing this tax on the New Zealand public when we are in a recession?

Why have you changed your position, Most Honourable Prime Minister, when you have previously been quoted as saying that “Global Warming is a hoax” and that “New Zealand should not be a world leader on climate change”?

Why do politicians keep saying the science is settled when you don’t have to be a rocket scientist to find that thousands of scientists around the world do not agree with the alarmists' claims?

A petition, signed by over 31,000 scientists, states that there is no convincing scientific evidence that the tolerance of the release of greenhouse gases is causing global warming. The science is not settled; in fact the recent eruption in Iceland makes a mockery of what any ETS would achieve.

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