The Flat Earth Society
Of all the ‘Ad Hominem’ attacks of the AGW fraternity against us so called Climate ‘Deniers’, the most annoying is the charge that we don’t know science! That we are all
Conspiracy theorists, pro smoking, pro bigoil , pro ‘nobody landed on the moon’ flat earthers. As far as the ‘Big oil’ bit goes, it all depends on who is doing the talking. And like most Multinational organisations , “Big Oil” likes to keep a foot in both camps.
But what really gets me however is the flat earth accusation. My immediate reaction once again is, ”Why should the pot call the kettle black”? Actually, frying pan would be a better term than pot, because it seems to me that in the light of recent SunSpot cycles and Cloud experiments, the Global Warming, Climate change, Extreme weather, Ocean warming, Water shortage fraternity are going to get tipped out of their last refuge into something a lot hotter than an approaching ice age.
Because of the complexity of trying to model the Earths climate in grid cells,
http://nas-sites.org/climatemodeling/page_3_2.php now down to 100kms a side and stacked in up to 30 layers each a kilometre high, and variously timed at X hours around the clock, the latest Supercomputing crunchers have to be run for hours at a time, at considerable expense. How many storms do we experience that are 100ks wide? Yet, to half the cell size to 50ks a side requires 10 times the computing power of the present models. But even now the present level of operation requires some horrendous simplications.
For years climate modelers have assumed that the energy radiating from the sun has been a constant figure with maybe 1-2% variability, ie. ‘The Solar Constant’, but it is good to see that some authorities are now prepared to factor in at least the sunspot cycle as a climate variable. http://atmospheres.gsfc.nasa.gov/climate/?section=136
My problem however, is not how much energy the sun projects on us but how do we calculate how much of it falls on the earth? A sphere, rotating at an inclined angle, progressively absorbing radiation on one side and reradiating it on the other at varying degrees around the circumference takes some complicated mathematics, even forgetting about the percentage of cloud cover around the clock. So, what do the Modelers do? They make an assumption that the Earth is a flat disk, of one quarter of the earths surface area. Did you get that? A flat disk! And what do they call us?
My only consolation is that by the time the World gets a computer big enough to run a decent model enough times to get a good ensembly, that all the billions now being fed into the AGW system will not be enough to pay both for it and all the energy required to keep us warm.