Members' Contributions

Study shows enteric methane has no impact on atmosphere

From the Pastural Farming Climate Research team...... 20 December 2010

 

It’s been raining consistently in the North for a few days. This is great news and I assume the drought has broken for now. David Carter attributed the drought to climate change. I don’t know what this rain says about climate change, we’ll have to wait and see what David Carter says, he’s the expert.

A study which was presented by Dr Bryce Buddle, an AgResearch scientist and Peter Hutton, a Massey University lecturer produced this graph which demonstrates that despite accelerated increases in ruminant numbers there has been no equivalent increase in global methane concentrations.

 

Call on NIWA to admit latest temperature review not valid

The New Zealand

Climate Science Coalition

Hon Secretary, Terry Dunleavy MBE, 14A Bayview Road, Hauraki, North Shore City 0622

Phone (09) 486 3859 - Mobile 0274 836688 - Email - terry.dunleavy@nzclimatescience.org.nz

 

19 December 2010                                                                    For immediate release

 

Call on NIWA to admit latest temperature review not valid

A call has been made on the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) to admit that that there is no valid statistical justification for its claims of a 0.91 degree C rise in New Zealand’s average temperature last century.  The call comes from Bryan Leyland, a spokesman for the New Zealand Climate Science Coalition (NZCSC), following the release this week by NIWA of its revised Seven Station Series (7SS), which the agency claimed has been vindicated in a peer review by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM).

 

Mr Leyland has also called on the Minister of Science and Technology, Hon Dr Wayne Mapp to ask for the resignation of John Morgan as chairman of NIWA. “Mr Morgan has misled New Zealanders about the robustness of the latest 7SS review. In his media release this week, Mr Morgan wrote that NIWA had asked the Australian Bureau of Meteorology to conduct the peer review to ‘ensure a thorough examination by an independent, internationally respected, climate science organisation. Mr Morgan confirmed that the scientists from the Bureau’s National Climate Centre concluded that the results and underlying methodology used by NIWA were sound.’”

The Viscount Monckton of Brenchley: The Abdication of the West

From Cancun, Mexico, Dec 10, 2010: I usually add some gentle humor to these reports. Not today. Read this and weep. Notwithstanding the carefully-orchestrated propaganda to the effect that nothing much will be decided at the UN climate conference here in Cancun, the decisions to be made here this week signal nothing less than the abdication of the West. The governing class in what was once proudly known as the Free World is silently, casually letting go of liberty, prosperity, and even democracy itself. No one in the mainstream media will tell you this, not so much because they do not see as because they do not bl**dy care.

The 33-page Note (FCCC/AWGLCA/2010/CRP.2) by the Chairman of the “Ad-Hoc Working Group on Long-Term Co-operative Action under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change”, entitled Possible elements of the outcome, reveals all. Or, rather, it reveals nothing, unless one understands what the complex, obscure jargon means. All UNFCCC documents at the Cancun conference, specifically including Possible elements of the outcome, are drafted with what is called “transparent impenetrability”. The intention is that the documents should not be understood, but that later we shall be told they were in the public domain all the time, so what are we complaining about?

Since the Chairman’s note is very long, I shall summarize the main points:

Cancun

Pastural Farming Climate Research newsletter, 9 December 2010 

Its danger time at Cancun, the bureaucrats have handed over to the politicians for the final week. Our politicians would still like to sign NZ up to a binding post Kyoto agreement. For NZ’s sake we hope they fail.

Our politicians are becoming increasingly moronic when it comes to global warming.

David Carter while visiting Northland and declaring a drought said the increase in significant drought events indicates we’re living in a time of significant climate change

That settles it, climate change must be happening, because we never used to have droughts before.

Climate is the overall conditions we experience over a 30 year period. Weather is what we get from day to day, month to month even year to year. Yes it is dry in Northland and it is the second year in a row after 15 reasonably wet years. How this says anything about climate, (the weather pattern over a 30 year period) is beyond me. I think it is beyond David Carter as well, I think a lot of things are beyond him.

No Rerun for “Rudd’s Folly”

Carbon-sense Coalition newsletter:

If images are lost or format mangled in transmission, you can link to a print friendly PDF of this newsletter here:

http://carbon-sense.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/12/no-rerun-kyoto-folly.pdf

 7th December 2010 

TO WHOM IT MAY CONCERN ... WHICH SHOULD BE QUITE A FEW

In 2005 Nick Smith said:  
  • Nats launch 'axecarbontax' campaign
  • Send C Tax the way of fart (sic) tax
  • The madness (sic) of C Tax will drive up the cost of living
  • The tax will undermine our competitiveness
  • There's no justification for NZ to go out by itself on this issue (Idoubt that the pun was intentional!)
  • We only contribute .4% of CO2 global emissions (I reckon we may sequester it all)
  • We are the only people in the world paying it
  • It will cost Nelson/Marlborough $25 million/year  (I reckon that's a helluva lot more than $3/head Nick quotes)
  • It will adversely impact on inflation
  • It is just an excuse for Dr Cullen to get deeper into our pockets
  • It will make not one iota of difference to NZ emissions
  • We need to bury this lemon (er, yes!)

Amended letter to the Editor -John, 7 December 2010

My Dear Editor
 
I read your banner headline (2/12) 'Big dry on the way'.  I don't know where the author lives, but around Orewa it's been dry for over a month. Then, last night it rained. So the heading was dead wrong!
 

Summary of submissions

 Newsletter from the Pastural Farming Climate Research team.                                                                                                                      

5 December 2010

There were 61 submissions received by MAF during the consultation process to determine the emission factors for agriculture’s reporting of carbon emissions.

Some points of interest

Species exemption

MAF proposed exempting Llama, alpaca, ostrich, emus. horses and ruminants other than cattle, sheep, goats and deer,(eg bison etc)

Some submitters argued Llama and alpaca contributed the same quantity of emissions as egg production and if egg production was included so too should llama and alpaca.

All submitters who commented on species exemption were opposed to horses being exempt. Fairness was the reason given by most for including horses. (we submitted horse emissions were as harmless as cattle emissions and carbon neutral; but that it was unfair not to ping horses if cattle were being held liable for emissions that do not exist)

Hole in Antarctic ozone layer shrinking

New Zealand News.Net
Thursday 2nd December, 2010 (IANS)

The hole in the Antarctic ozone layer, blamed for global warming in the southern hemisphere, is shrinking and at its smallest for five years, New Zealand's National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) said Friday.

Atmospheric scientist Stephen Wood said it indicated that international initiatives, such as the 1987 Montreal Protocol, which phased out chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and other ozone-depleting substances, may be working.

Wood said land and satellite calculations showed the Antarctic ozone hole reached a maximum of about 22 million sq km and an ozone mass deficit of approximately 27 million tons this year.

Last year, it was 24 million sq km and 35 million tons. The largest ozone hole ever recorded was in 2000, when it reached 29 million sq km with a 43 million ton deficit.

Although reluctant to say the ozone hole was recovering permanently, Wood said, 'However, we have now had a few years in succession with less severe holes. That is an indication we may be beginning to see a recovery.'

Continued monitoring would enable scientists to assess whether it was the start of a sustained, long-term, recovery, he said.

The Antarctic ozone hole forms in August and September every year and remains until breaking up in November or December.

Climate change forecast to increase food prices, world hunger

Articles like this one (below) give a clear demonstration as to why Climate Realists exist. Note the (edited ) highlighted parts- and see that in the midst of all the alarmism, most of the hype is created by computer models- which are only as good as the scenarios and information fed into them. Note the absence of anything really definite.... read it and weep.

CANCUN - Even if we stopped spewing global warming gases today, the world would face a steady rise in food prices this century.

On our current emissions path, climate change becomes the "threat multiplier" that could double grain prices by 2050 and leave millions more children malnourished, global food experts reported yesterday.

Beyond 2050, when climate scientists project temperatures might rise to as much as 6.4C over 20th century levels, the planet grows "gloomy" for agriculture, said senior research fellow Gerald Nelson of the International Food Policy Research Institute.

The specialists of the authoritative, Washington-based IFPRI said they fed 15 scenarios of population and income growth into supercomputer models of climate and found "climate change worsens future human well-being, especially among the world's poorest people".

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